Extreme Temperatures | Hometown Forecast Services

The Week Ahead: November 14-20, 2022

Winter will finally make an appearance across a large portion of the nation during the upcoming week.

Low pressure moving across the Southwest will have a large impact on a good portion of the nation this week. Image provided by NOAA.

Low pressure will move out of the Southwest and across the Southern Plains today, before heading across the Deep South and then off the Mid-Atlantic coast by midweek. To the south, it will produce showers and thunderstorms across parts of Texas and eventually the Gulf Coast and the Southeast over the next few days. Some strong storms are possible, but a severe weather outbreak is not expected. The bigger story will be what takes place north of the system. Some light snow or a wintry mix will move across the Plains states today and into the Mississippi Valley tonight and Tuesday. While the snow won’t be heavy, a few inches could accumulate in some spots, which will be the first accumulating snow of the season for some locations.

Some locally heavy rain is possible along the Gulf Coast over the next few days. Image provided by Weathermodels.com

By later Tuesday, as the low moves off the Mid-Atlantic coast, a second, weaker low will also move across the Midwest, producing some light snow across this region, with rain across the Tennessee Valley. As both of these lows head eastward, precipitation will move into the Northeast. Precipitation may start as a wintry mix early Wednesday across the northern and western suburbs of New York and Boston, but for the cities of the I-95 corridor, this will be mostly a rainstorm. Farther inland, from central Pennsylvania into much of Upstate New York, and Northern New England, several inches of snow could accumulate before any potential changeover to rain. As the storm intensifies off the East Coast, heavier snow is possible in parts of northern and eastern Maine and into Atlantic Canada.

A swath of light to moderate snow is expected from the Southern Plains to the Northeast over the next few days. Image provided by WeatherBell.

While temperatures are currently below normal across most of the nation, even colder air will spill southward from Canada behind this storm. By the end of the week, some record lows are possible, especially in parts of the Plains States and Northern Rockies, where some sub-zero temperatures are possible. By the end of the week, below normal readings are likely across most of the nation except for the immediate West Coast, and parts of southern Florida. From the Appalachians westward to the Rockies, temperatures will be 15 to 30 degrees below normal for the end of the week and into next weekend.

Very cold air will invade much of the nation late this week. Image provided by Weathermodels.com.

As that cold air pours over the Great Lakes, some lake-effect snow is expected. Locations downwind of Lakes Superior and Michigan could see several inches of snow by mid-week, similar to what they had over the weekend. However, it’s the areas downwind of Lakes Erie and Ontario that could see some exceptionally heavy amounts. Totals could exceed a foot from Buffalo to Cleveland, with the location of the heaviest snowfall obviously dependent on the wind direction, but its the area east of Lake Ontario, specifically the Tug Hill Plateau of northern New York that could see the heaviest amounts.

Parts of northern and western New York could see some hefty snow totals later this week. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.

The Week Ahead: November 7-13, 2022

A very active week is expected across the nation this week, with everything from hurricanes to blizzards, and record highs to record lows expected.

The week is starting out active and will remain that way for the next several days. Image provided by NOAA.

Low pressure is moving into the Pacific Northwest this morning, with rain strong winds, and mountain snow expected. As this storm spreads inland, heavy rain will spread across most of the West, including all of California, with heavy snow across the higher elevations and through the Great Basin and into the Rockies. Winter Weather Advisories, Winter Storm Warnings, and High Wind Warnings are in effect for many locations already. Rainfall totals of 1-2 inches and locally heavier will be welcomed across California, helping to put a dent into the drought and aiding efforts to extinguish the many wildfires still burning across the West. Across the mountains, snowfall totals of 1-2 feet and locally heavier are expected in parts of the Cascades and Sierra Nevada, with up to a foot possible across the mountains of the Interior Northwest and Northern Rockies.

Heavy rain is expected across most of California over the next few days. Image provided by WeatherBell.

By Thursday, the system will move into the Plains and toward the Great Lakes. Ahead of the storm, record high temperatures are possible once again, with the threat of some severe weather in the Mississippi Valley. However, it’s across the Northern Plains and Upper Midwest where impact will be the greatest. The combination of strong winds, gusting to 40-50 mph, and heavy snow, possibly as much as 8-16 inches across parts of the Dakotas and northern Minnesota as well as the southern Canadian Prairies, will result in blizzard conditions at times later Thursday into Friday.

The models all have heavy snow forecast for the Dakotas and northern Minnesota, but differ on the amounts and placement. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.

Behind the storm, especially with fresh snowcover, some of the coldest air so far this fall will pour into the Rockies and Northern Plains with high temperatures for the end of the week and the weekend only in the teens and 20s, and some subzero low temperatures likely. As that storm continues into southeastern Canada, it will drag a cold front across the eastern third of the nation for the end of the week. By the time it reaches the East Coast late Saturday, nearly the entire nation will experience temperatures that are below normal for mid-November, a rather big change from what the eastern half of the nation has experiences for the past couple of weeks.

By Sunday, temperatures will be below normal across virtually the entire Lower 48. Image provided by Weathermodels.com

While all this is going on, we also need to pay attention to the tropics. Hurricane Season doesn’t officially end until November 30, and we’re keeping an eye on two separate areas at this time. The first is centered a few hundred miles east of Bermuda. As it drifts around over marginally warm waters, it could become a subtropical or tropical storm over the next day or two. It likely won’t last that long, as a strong cold front moving off the East Coast today will absorb this system by midweek and send it out over the colder waters of the North Atlantic.

The models are unanimous that the system east of Bermuda will not be a threat to land this week. Image provided by Tropical Tidbits.

The second area is a much bigger concern. A low pressure area few hundred miles north of Puerto Rico has been producing heavy rain across Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands for the past few days, with rainfall totals of 5-10 inches producing flooding in some locations. The system is expected to move northwestward while slowly organizing, and could become a tropical depression or storm over the next few days. Eventually, it will turn toward the west, passing close to or over the northern Bahamas, then heading toward the East Coast of Florida. Heavy rain, strong winds, and rough surf are likely across much of Florida as the system draws closer at mid-week. Some models have the storm close to hurricane strength before landfall somewhere across east-central Florida. After landfall, the mostly likely scenario is a turn toward the north and eventually northeast as a strong trough of low pressure moves into the Eastern US.

Ensemble forecasts for the track of a disturbance north of Puerto Rico. Image provided by Tomer Burg.

Once the system makes the turn, it will likely move back into the Atlantic and up the East Coast. While it will lose its characteristics, it will still produce heavy rain, gusty winds, and rough seas from the Carolinas northward to New England. Given its tropical origins, some of the rain could be especially heavy near the coast, with widespread totals of 2-4 inches possible. The strong cold front marching eastward will help kick the system out to sea later Saturday. If it does so early enough, it could result in less rain and wind across parts of New England.

The Week Ahead: September 19-25, 2022

Hurricane Fiona is grabbing the headlines, but it’s not the only area we’re watching this week.

The surface map doesn’t look that busy, but there is plenty going on. Image provided by NOAA.

Hurricane Fiona produced strong winds and catastrophic flooding across parts of the northeastern Caribbean over the weekend, especially Puerto Rico, and today it’s the Dominican Republic’s turn. Once it moves back into the Atlantic later today, a northward track is expected for the next few days. It may bring strong winds and heavy rain to the Turks and Caicos as well as parts of the southeastern Bahamas over the next few days, but as it moves over open water, additional strengthening is expected. By the latter half of the week, it could have Bermuda in its sights. Its still too early to determine what, if any, impact it will have on Bermuda, but anything from a glancing blow to a direct hit as a major hurricane is possible. By the end of the week,, it should be heading out into the North Atlantic and starting to weaken, though residents of Atlantic Canada and Newfoundland should keep an eye on Fiona.

Forecast track for Hurricane Fiona. Image provided by the Bermuda Weather Service.

Out West, an early-season storm will bring some much-needed rainfall to parts of California over the next few days. The rain began Sunday, but will continue into Tuesday or even Wednesday in parts of the state. Some spots could pick up 1-2 inches or more by the time everything winds down. This will help put a small dent in the ongoing drought across the state, but will also be a big help to the firefighting efforts for the numerous wildfires burning across the region.

California will get some much-needed rain over the next few days. Image provided by Weathermodels.com

Heat will return to the nation’s midsection over the next few days, gradually spreading into parts of the Mississippi Valley and the Deep South as the week goes on. High temperatures well into the 90s and possibly lower 100s are expected, which is 10-to-20 degrees above normal for late-September. Many record high temperatures are expected over the next several days.

Record highs are expected in many locations from the Plains to the East Coast this week. Images provided by WeatherBell.

While heat covers much of the nation, late in the week, cool weather will be the story from the Northern Plains to the Northeast. A strong cold front will produce some rain across these areas during the latter half of the week, but behind that front, much cooler air will settle in. Frost and freezing temperatures may bring an end to the growing season from parts of the Great Lakes into northern New England by the end of the week. In fact, as that front moves through, the rain may mix with or even change to wet snow across some of the higher elevations of northern New York and New England Thursday night and early Friday. While this is a bit early, it’s not that unusual for some of the higher peaks to see snow in late September. Atop New Hampshire’s Mt. Washington snow has already been reported a couple of times this month.

Temperatures will be below to well below normal across the Northeast at the end of the week. Loop provided by Pivotal Weather.

The Week Ahead: September 5-11, 2022

A rather active week is expected across much of the nation for the first full week of meteorological autumn.

High pressure dominates the northern tier of states to begin the week. Image provided by NOAA.

A large ridge of high pressure remains in place across the West for a good portion of the upcoming week. As a result, the intense heat wave will continue from the Front Range of the Rockies westward to the Pacific Coast. Daily high temperatures well into the 90s and 100s are expected across the region, with many places across parts of interior California and the Southwest likely topping 110 degrees. Dozens of record highs are expected during each of the next several afternoons. Excessive Heat Warnings and Heat Advisories remain in effect for many locations. The heat, combined with low humidity and gusty winds will also result in a high fire danger for many areas. Fire Weather Watches and Red Flag Warnings are in effect for parts of the region. In addition to some of the ongoing fires, any new ones that develop could rapidly spread in this pattern.

Many record highs are expected across the West during the next several afternoons. Images provided by WeatherBell.

Meanwhile, a slow-moving frontal system will bring some heavy rain from the Tennessee and Ohio Valleys into parts of the Mid-Atlantic states and the Northeast over the next few days. Many places could receive 1-3 inches of rain over this time frame, with some heavier totals possible. In the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys, this is not good news, as it will likely result in flooding in many locations. Flood Watches are in effect for parts of the area. From the Mid-Atlantic into the Northeast, the rain will be very welcome, despite much of it falling on Labor Day, as much of the region has been under a severe to extreme drought for the past few months. Any rain that falls is welcome, as it will help to replenish the rivers, lakes, ponds, and reservoirs across the region. With all of the cloud cover and rain, temperatures will be as much as 6-12 degrees below normal across parts of the area today and again on Tuesday.

Heavy rain is expected across parts of the East today and Tuesday. Image provided by WeatherBell.

Across the Southwest, what has been a very wet monsoon season thus far has slowed day in recent days, but that could change later this week. Tropical Storm Kay developed off the southwest coast of Mexico on Sunday. The current forecast calls for it to strengthen into a hurricane in the next few days while turning northwestward, paralleling the coast of Mexico. It could impact parts of the Baja California peninsula later this week. By the end of the week, the moisture from the system (or what’s left of it), may spread into parts of the Southwest, enhancing the monsoon once again and bringing the threat for flooding to parts of Arizona and southern California.

Forecast track for Tropical Storm Kay. Image provided by the National Hurricane Center.

Elsewhere in the tropics, we have two named systems in the Atlantic – Hurricane Danielle and Tropical Storm Earl. Danielle is centered about 950 miles west of the Azores, but should start heading off toward the northeast and east over the next few days. Maximum sustained winds are near 90 mph, but as it moves over colder waters over the next few days, it will weaken and likely will become extratropical later this week. It may bring gusty winds and heavy rain to parts of the British Isles by the end of the week, after the system currently doing the same weakens and moves away from the UK.

Forecast track for Hurricane Danielle. Image provided by the National Hurricane Center.

Meanwhile, Tropical Storm Earl is gradually strengthening in the waters north of Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands. Heavy rain and gusty winds will wind down across the islands today as Earl pulls away to the north. The forecast for Earl is fairly simple of the next day or two – it will continue in a general northerly direction while strengthening, and could become a hurricane. Beyond that, there is some uncertainty. Most of the models show an upper-level trough moving across the central Atlantic pulling Earl off toward the northeast and out into open water. However, if that trough does not pull Earl out to sea, it could continue northward or even northwestward, which would increase the threat Earl may pose to Bermuda, before another trough comes along and eventually does send Earl out to sea.

Track forecasts for Tropical Storm Earl from several ensembles. Image provided by Tomer Burg

In the Western Pacific Ocean, Typhoon Hinnamnor will pass close to or across southeastern portions of South Korea today, with top winds likely still in the 100-110 mph range. Storm surge will likely be confined to just a small portion of the South Korean coastline, but that area includes the city of Busan, the 2nd most populous city in South Korea. Busan is also the 6th busiest port in the world. Heavy rain and gusty winds are likely across much of the Korean Peninsula, but also could impact parts of Japan over the next few days as the system heads northeastward while weakening and becoming extratropical.

Forecast track for Typhoon Hinnamnor. Image provided by the Korean Meteorological Administration.

The Week Ahead: August 29 – September 4, 2022

The weather pattern across the US isn’t that active at the moment, but the Atlantic may be starting to get active finally.

Despite a couple of wavy fronts, the weather across the US isn’t that active. Image provided by NOAA.

A persistent trough of low pressure will remain in place across the Southeast and Florida for the next few days. This will act as a focus for shower and thunderstorm activity across the region. Severe weather will be very isolated in nature, but some heavy rainfall totals are possible, especially across much of Florida, southern Georgia, and coastal portions of the Carolinas. Many locations will receive 1-3 inches of rain over the next several days, with isolated totals in excess of 5 inches possible in spots. This will likely lead to some flash flooding.

Some heavy rain is expected across parts of Florida and the Southeast this week. Image provided by WeatherBell.

Out West, where the monsoon has been quite active this summer, it will slow down this week, allowing heat to return. Excessive Heat Watches have been issued for parts of the Desert Southwest and Southern California. Triple digit highs are likely across the Southwest and interior California several days this week, as well as portions of the interior Northwest. Highs will soar well past 90 across much of the remainder of the West through the week, with numerous record highs possible each afternoon into next weekend.

Record highs are possible every day this week across the Western US. Image provided by WeatherBell.

Meanwhile, as we enter the peak of hurricane season, the Atlantic appears to be awakening from its 2 month slumber. There are several areas that the National Hurricane Center is keeping an eye on, but the most immediate threat appears to be a tropical wave and associated low pressure area several hundred miles east of the Lesser Antilles. The area is showing signs of organization, and conditions are somewhat favorable for development over the next few days. Most of the forecast the system to head northwestward for the next few days, passing north of the Lesser Antilles toward the end of the week. In terms of strength, several models either keep the system very weak or don’t develop it at all, and others do allow for some significant development. It could become a tropical depression later this week, but there are still significant questions as to the future of this system or if it even has a future.

Most of the models bring the disturbance in the central Atlantic on a northwestward course. Image provided by Tropical Tidbits.

There are a couple of other tropical waves we’re keeping an eye on. One of them is in the western Caribbean, and will bring some heavy rain and gusty winds to parts of the Yucatan and Central America today and tomorrow. Once it moves into the Gulf of Mexico, some forecast models show the potential for development, but others do not, so that wave will need to be monitored. Another wave will move off the coast of Africa tonight, and take its time crossing the Atlantic this week. Again, there are some models that show the potential for development, but others that don’t, so it will need to be monitored as well.

The Week Ahead: August 15-21, 2022

A fairly quiet week is expected across much of the nation this week.

The surface map looks somewhat busy, but there’s not a lot going on to start the week. Image provided by NOAA.

A weak low pressure system in the western Gulf of Mexico over the weekend moved into southern Texas late Sunday. If it had another 6-12 hours over water, it could have become a tropical depression. It will continue to push inland over the next few days, bringing some heavy rain to parts of southern Texas and northern Mexico. Many locations could receive 1-2 inches over the next few days, with some heavier amounts possible, especially in northern Mexico. Some localized flooding is possible, but the rain will also help with the ongoing severe drought across the region. Significantly more rainfall is needed to help put a dent in the drought, but every bit helps.

Heavy rain is expected in south Texas and northern Mexico over the next few days. Image provided by WeatherBell.

Hot weather will return to much of the West and the Pacific Northwest over the next few days as a ridge of high pressure builds in. Triple digit heat is likely across interior California, with some 90s right to the coastline. Temperatures will also soar into the 90s and 100s across the Interior Northwest for much of the week. Record highs are possible each day, with Tuesday and Wednesday the most likely days for the hottest weather. Excessive Heat Watches have already been posted for parts of the region.

Record highs are possible across parts of the West and Northwest this week. Images provided by Weathermodels.com

While the Northwest and West turn hotter, monsoonal moisture will continue to flow into the Southwest, producing more showers and thunderstorms each afternoon. Some of these storms will produce heavy rainfall that will trigger flash flooding in many areas. Flash Flood Watches remain in effect for parts of the region. The rain will also help to keep temperatures below normal. While it will remain seasonably hot, with highs still well into the 90s and 100s in many locations, these readings will be on average 3-6 degrees below normal for mid-August through midweek. By the end of the week, some places in the Southwest could see readings that are 6-12 degrees below normal.

Flash Flood Watches are in effect for the Southwest while Excessive Heat Watches have been posted for interior California. Image provided by Pivotal Weather.

Cool and wet conditions are also likely from the Tennessee Valley and Mid-Atlantic states into the Southeast this week. A frontal boundary will drop southward before stalling out across the Deep South this week. Showers and thunderstorms are likely along this boundary each day. Some of the storms may produce heavy rain, with some localized flooding possible each day. To the north of the front, some rather cool air for mid-August will settle in and remain in place through the end of the week. Temperatures will be as much as 7-14 degrees below normal for the next several days across this region, before they start to moderate next weekend.

Unseasonably cool weather is expected from the Tennessee Valley and Mid-Atlantic states into the Southeast. Images provided by WeatherBell.

The Week Ahead: July 18-24, 2022

Heat will be the big story this week, but severe weather will also grab some headlines early in the week.

A couple of frontal systems will generate some severe weather early in the week. Image provided by NOAA.

A frontal system moving across Montana this morning will help trigger some strong to severe thunderstorms later today across parts of the Northern Plains states. A widespread severe weather outbreak is not expected, but some storms may produce hail, damaging winds, and heavy downpours that could lead to flash flooding. Activity may start to wane by Tuesday morning as it crosses the Red River, but another round of strong to severe storms is expected to develop Tuesday afternoon and evening across parts of the Upper Mississippi Valley. The main threats with these storms will be strong winds, but hail and heavy downpours are also possible.

The severe weather threat shifts into the Upper Midwest on Tuesday. Image provided by the Storm Prediction Center.

Severe weather is possible in parts of the Northern Plains today. Image provided by the Storm Prediction Center.

Low pressure will move out of the Ohio Valley and into northern New England states. This system generated heavy rain across parts of the region over the weekend, resulting in some flooding in spots. The system will bring some much-needed rainfall to interior portions of New York and New England today, helping put a dent in the drought that has been developing for a few months. Some places could receive more than an inch of rainfall today. The system will also produce some strong thunderstorms across parts of the Mid-Atlantic states. A few severe storms are possible along the I-95 corridor from New York City to Washington. The main threat with any storms that develop will be strong winds, but there is a small risk for a tornado from eastern New York into parts of northern New Jersey and northeastern Pennsylvania.

Drought conditions continue to worsen across the Northeast. Image provided by the National Drought Mitigation Center.

Elsewhere, the main story this week will be record heat across the Plains states, eventually spreading to the East Coast. A large ridge of high pressure remains in place for the next several days from the Southwest into the Plains states. Temperatures will top 100 today from Texas northward to the Dakotas. While temperatures will turn a little cooler across the Dakotas for the next few days, triple-digits will continue across the central and southern Plains while spreading into the Lower Mississippi Valley, and by the end of the week into the Middle Mississippi Valley. Some record highs are expected for each of the next several afternoons, especially across Texas. Tuesday looks to be the hottest day, when temperatures may top 110 across portions of Oklahoma and northern Texas.

Record highs are expected across the nation’s mid-section nearly every afternoon this week. Images provided by WeatherBell.

Hot and humid weather will also spread to the East Coast later this week, and though a few records are possible conditions won’t be as extreme as in the Plains states. After the rain and potential severe weather today, heat will settle in on Tuesday, and remain in place for much of the week. Daytime temperatures will be in the lower to middle 90s for much of the week. Humidity levels will be moderate for Tuesday and Wednesday, but oppressive conditions return on Thursday. A frontal system may bring in some showers and thunderstorms later Thursday with drier weather returning for Friday and the weekend, but temperatures will remain very warm to hot.

The Week Ahead: July 11-17, 2022

The upcoming week will feature more heat in Texas and parts of the West, some severe weather in the northern tier of states and the potential for a tropical system in the Gulf of Mexico.

Quiet weather dominates much of the nation to start the week. Image provided by NOAA.

Record high temperatures were observed across much of the Plains states and Texas again on Sunday. In College Station, Texas, the high temperature reached 111 degrees at Easterwood Field. This not only broke the daily record of 109 that had stood since 1917, it broke the all-time record for July of 110, originally set on July 24, 1903, and tied on July 11, 1917. The 111-degree reading is tied with the 111 on September 5, 2000 for the 2nd warmest day in the city’s history, trailing only the 112 recorded on September 4, 2000. The heat will continue across Texas for the next few days, but temperatures shouldn’t be as hot as they were over the weekend. Records are still likely to fall in many spots across the state on Monday, with a few more possible on Tuesday and Wednesday as well. Excessive Heat Warnings and Heat Advisories remain in effect for a large part of the state.

Record highs are expected across Texas again on Monday. Image provided by Weathermodels.com

The heat will also continue across the Southwest and interior portions of the West for a good portion of the upcoming week. A few records are possible, but in most cases, temperatures will be 5-10 degrees above normal. Temperatures will likely top 110 in Las Vegas for the next few days, and in places like Phoenix and Tucson for most of the week. Triple-digit temperatures are likely across interior California Monday and Tuesday before dropping a little toward mid-week. Heat will also spread into parts of the Interior Northwest by midweek.

As is typical of July, a very hot week is expected in Death Valley, Image provided by Weathermodels.com

A frontal system will move across the northern tier of states over the next couple of the days. With a warm and humid airmass in place, some strong to severe thunderstorms are likely. The severe weather threat Monday exists across parts of the Great Lakes including the Chicago metropolitan area. By Tuesday, the threat will shift into interior portions of the Northeast. With the front not expected to reach the coast until after dark Tuesday evening, it will limit the severe weather threat for the big cities of the I-95 corridor on the Northeast. Some of the stronger storms may produce damaging winds, large hail, and heavy downpours that could lead to flash flooding in spots.

Severe weather is possible across interior portions of the Northeast on Tuesday. Image provided by the Storm Prediction Center.

Finally, low pressure is located along a frontal boundary over Georgia this morning. That boundary will wash out near the Gulf Coast over the next few days, but as it moves over the warm waters of the Gulf, conditions could become favorable for a low pressure area to form later this week. Whether it does form or not, some heavy rain is expected along the Gulf Coast from northern Florida to Louisiana. Some forecast models show the potential for rainfall totals 3 to 6 inches or higher, which could produce flooding in some areas.

A low pressure area moving into the northern Gulf of Mexico will be monitored for development this week. Image provided by the National Hurricane Center.

In the Eastern Pacific Ocean, Hurricane Darby should continue westward over open water for the next several days, well southwest of Mexico. It will likely peak in intensity toward Tuesday, then steadily weaken over cooler water. Some of the remnants of the system could enhance rainfall across Hawaii toward next weekend.

The Week Ahead: June 27-July 3, 2022

The weather looks quiet across much of the nation this week, but the tropics may be starting to get active.

High pressure will provide much of the nation with quiet weather this week. Image provided by NOAA.

A tropical wave is making its way across the Atlantic, and has been slowly showing signs of organization over the past several days. Conditions are favorable for additional development, and it could become a tropical depression before it crosses the Windward Islands on Tuesday. It should move into the southeastern Caribbean on Wednesday, then track across the southern Caribbean, possibly impacting the ABC islands later in the week. With the system expected to remain fairly far south and close to the northern coast of South America, significant development is not likely, but the system could become a tropical storm as it crosses the Caribbean.

Most of the forecast models track the tropical system across the Southern Caribbean. Image provided by WeatherBell.

We’re also keeping an eye on a cluster of thunderstorms in the northern Gulf of Mexico. They remain disorganized, but should drift toward the west over the next few days. There is some potential for limited development, though it doesn’t not seem very likely at this time. Whether it develops or not, the area of showers and thunderstorms should move into Texas later this week, bringing some beneficial rainfall to parts of southeastern Texas.

Areas along the Texas Coast really need rainfall to help put a dent in the drought. Image provided by the National Drought Mitigation Center.

The heat wave that had been gripping much of Texas and the Deep South has finally broken, and while there’s no extreme heat expected this week, much of the nation will see at least 1 or 2 hot days during the upcoming week. One such area is the Pacific Northwest. Heat starting moving into the region on Sunday, including Seattle and Portland. Today is will spread into parts of southeastern Alaska as well as the Interior Northwest. Spokane, Washington should reach 90 today for the first time this year. Last Wednesday, the city reached 80 for the first time, the latest in the year that Spokane recorded their first 80-degree day. In southeastern Alaska, temperatures will get well into the 70s and 80s in many locations, including Juneau, where some records may be set.

Today will be the first hot day of the year across the Interior Northwest. Image provided by Weathermodels.com

The heat will shift into the Plains states by midweek. Temperatures could top 100 across parts of the Northern and Central Plains on Wednesday, with the core of the heat shifting into the Central and Southern Plains on Thursday. By the end of the week, it looks like Friday will be a hot day across the I-95 corridor in the Northeast. Temperatures could get well into the 90s from Washington to Boston to start the holiday weekend.

The Week Ahead: June 6-12, 2022

A hot week is expected from Texas into the Southwest while the Plains states will be dealing with several rounds of severe weather.

A wavy frontal system in the Plains states will be the focus of severe weather this week. Image provided by NOAA.

A ridge of high pressure will build into parts of the Southwest and Texas over the next several days, resulting in hot and in some cases humid conditions. High temperatures will be well into the 90s and 100s across Texas for much of the upcoming week, with record highs possible in many locations each afternoon. The heat will spread across the Gulf Coast and into the Southeast later in the week, with temperatures reaching the 90s in many areas. However, the record heat will actually spread westward into the Southwest and California as the ridge continues to strengthen. By the latter half of the week, temperatures will top 100 across interior California, with parts of the Desert Southwest, including Phoenix and Las Vegas likely reaching 110 or more, with some records expected. Death Valley could reach 120 by the end of the week.

Record highs are expected over the next several days from Texas to California. Images provided by WeatherBell.

A wavy frontal system will remain in place across the central and southern Plains this week, keeping the heat in Texas, while cooler weather remains in place to the north. As waves of low pressure ride along that front, each one will trigger some showers and thunderstorms. Some of these storms could become strong to severe each afternoon, especially across parts of the southern Plains and into the Middle Mississippi Valley. One wave of low pressure may trigger some strong to severe storms this afternoon and evening, followed by another round of severe weather Tuesday afternoon and evening. A stronger wave, may produce more widespread severe weather in the central and southern Plains later on Thursday, possibly lingering into early Friday.

Several days of severe weather are expected across the Plains States this week. Image provided by Pivotal Weather.

In the Northeast, a dry spring has resulted in drought conditions developing, especially parts of eastern New England. Rainfall totals for the year are running 2-5 inches below normal, with much of that deficit occurring over the past 2 months. A cold front will move into the region on Wednesday, stalling out as it moves through, with a wave of low pressure riding along the front Wednesday night and early Thursday. This should bring some beneficial rain into the area, with widespread totals of 0.50″-1.00″ expected, and some heavier amounts likely.